Monthly Archives: November 2009

Hope Blazes: Warriors 108 Blazers 94

Aaaaaaaarghh.  That is the sanitized version of the noise I made when I returned home from my no-limit poker game only to find that I had recorded the wrong channel.  Instead of enjoying a glorious Warrior win with a snifter of Lagavulin, I suffered a melted brain.  Someone must pay, and that someone is DirectTV.  I’m switching to Comcast tomorrow.

So what follows comes to you courtesy of the box score, Tim Kawakami (dare I admit that?), and a few kind friends.  I won’t blame you if you decide to skip this recap, but I do want to throw in my two cents on this game, handicapped as I am by not having seen it.

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Pre-Game Jitters

The Warriors are stunning +8 home dogs to Portland tonight.  The line no doubt reflects the loss of Biedrins, Turiaf and Azubuike, and the fact that the Warriors will be playing only seven players. But I think it also reflects something more. This is a team Don Nelson and the Warriors have traditionally given a lot of trouble to, short handed or no.  I think this line reflects the absence of Stephen Jackson.  Jackson has done a  terrific job guarding Portland superstar Brandon Roy over the years, and with him gone, and no Azubuike or Bell, the Warriors simply have no one to guard him.

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Test Drive: Celtics 109 Warriors 95

The story of the last two games, as far as I am concerned, is this:  Don Nelson has given the keys of the franchise to Stephen Curry.

In the two games since Stephen Jackson was traded, Curry has started.  And he, not Monta Ellis, has been running the team.  Curry is the point guard.  Monta Ellis is the shooting guard.  Don Nelson has made his decision.

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Pre-Game Jitters

The Warriors are +16.5 road dogs against the Celtics tonight. I’m going to discipline myself and not say a word about this line.  If you haven’t noticed, my intuitions about the Warriors lines have been ice cold lately.  Which is one reason why I never bet them! (But see The Bobcats Bet for the kind of thing I do bet.)

For me, this game will be a tale of two intriguing matchups:     Continue reading

The Bobcats Bet

I do not bet regular season NBA games (nor any regular season games in any sport) as a rule.  The bookies simply have too much edge against a non-professional like myself.  What I like to bet are futures bets, preseason win totals, and playoff series.  There is frequently a lot of edge in those bets, and my poor results so far this year notwithstanding, I generally do pretty well with them.

On rare occasions, however, when situations arise that I believe cause bookies to fall behind the curve, I will bet regular season games. Such a situation occurred two seasons ago, when the Lakers acquired Pau Gasol in midseason.  I bet the Lakers to win the championship the next day at 10-1 ( a bet I was able to lay off at +170 on the Celtics in the finals).  And I bet the Lakers to cover in every game for a period of about two weeks after the trade.  The Lakers won their next ten games, I believe, and covered enough to make me a profit.

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Pride and Precipice: Cavs 114 Warriors 108

Why is it that the Warriors always play so well when they are down to 7 players?  At the end of last year, also fielding a 7 man skeleton squad, the Warrriors earned themselves a “Magnificent Seven” nickname by reeling off several impressive wins.  On this night, with Vlad Rad playing his first game in Warriors uniform, and more bitter break-up rumors swirling about the team, the Warriors once again came through with a very nice game.  They didn’t get the win, but they played unselfishly and gave a good effort.  A small victory, but small victories go a long way towards soothing the savage beast that is raging at this moment in the breast of every true Warriors fan.

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Pre-Game Jitters: Cavs

The Warriors are +14.5 in this game.  I think that’s probably low.  The Warriors will be dressing 8 players, but Raja Bell will not be playing except in case of emergency. He has decided to have the wrist surgery he has been postponing and will likely be lost to the Warriors for the year. CJ Watson is out with the flu.

With Stephen Jackson gone, the skeleton-crew Warriors are at Lebron’s mercy.  I think we’ll see a lot of zone in this game. What we’ll also probably see a lot of is Rad Vlad jacking up threes.  On demand.  No waiting.  Enjoy!

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You’re Dismissed, Private Jackson

Stephen Jackson and Acie Law to the Bobcats for Raja Bell and Vladimir Radmanovich.  Say goodbye to We Believe. Say hello to Don’t Snowboard, Please.

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Branded: Bucks 129 Warriors 125

If it weren’t for Kelenna Azubuike’s devastating knee injury, this would have been a great game to watch.  The Warriors gave an all-around superb performance in the second game of a road back-to-back, a performance to be proud of. Unfortunately, their team performance was overshadowed by the incandescent individual performance of sensational Bucks rookie Brandon Jennings, who laid 55 points on the Warriors.  29 of those points came in the third quarter, when Jennings made his first 11 shots, many from 3 point range. For the game, he shot 21-34, including 7-8 from three, with 5 rebounds and 5 assists.  A rookie performance for the ages.

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A Warrior Falls

I can already predict tomorrow’s headline in the Bay Area sports pages:

Don Nelson Wrecks Azubuike’s Knee!

A bad joke, I know.  But that’s what my people traditionally do when faced by disaster, make bad jokes.  What else is there to do at this point?  There are not too many franchises in pro sports that have been as snakebit as the Warriors in the last two years.

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