You may remember that I bet on the Celtics in this series. I still believe that they are the best team, but I am a little bit concerned about the injury problems that have surfaced in the last few games. Big Baby Davis has been an important piece in the battle to contain Dwight Howard; he is concussed and down a few teeth, and may not be available. Likewise Rasheed Wallace; he is a great player who has really stepped up his play, but he is now suffering severe back spasms. Kevin Garnett has slowed noticably; the knee that has bothered him all season may be on the verge of giving out. And perhaps most importantly, Rajon Rondo has been slowed as well by back spasms. Given these inherently unpredictable factors, I think prudence is the order of the day.
Therefore, I’m going to avail myself of the game 6 line to eliminate my risk of losing this series, while creating a nice middle for myself. The Celtics are favored by 3.5 points in game 6. I am going to take the Magic and the points in the amount of my original series bet. After placing this bet, here is the situation I find myself in:
If the Celtics win game 6 and cover the spread, I will win an amount equal to 120% of my original series bet (the Celtics were +220, or 2.2 to 1). If the Magic win game 6 and go on to win the series, I will break even.
In addition, I have two ways to win both bets, or “hit the middle.” One way, of course, is if the Magic lose the game but cover the spread. The other way is if the Magic win the game but then go on to lose game 7.
Go Celtics! But not by much!