This is a new Jazz team, and a new Warriors team. Let’s take a look at how they match up.
The old Jazz of Boozer and Okur used to beat the Warriors up in the middle. Those days are over. It is the Warriors, believe it or not, that now have the size advantage in the middle, against the floor bound Al Jefferson and the undersized Paul Milsap. Does Keith Smart have anything cooked up to exploit that with David Lee, and get Milsap in foul trouble?
The Jazz will also have trouble containing Monta Ellis, even with the great Raja Bell on him. The Jazz will need their entire team to help out on Monta, and they simply have no shot blocking in their interior.
With the exception of Andre Kirilenko. But will Kirilenko abandon his post defending Dorell Wright at the three point line to protect the basket from Monta’s balletic assaults? A devilish dilemma.
Keith Smart has weaknesses to exploit all over this Jazz team. The Jazz no longer have the defense to stop them. Nor do they have the offensive weapons they used to — even counting their all-world point guard Deron Williams — to run with these Warriors.
The Warriors are getting +2.5 points at home, playing without Stephen Curry (ankle sprain). Feltbot’s taking the points. The Warriors Bet is on.