Author Archives: feltbot

The Price was Right: Grading Feltbot’s 2014-15 Season Win Total Wagers

Before every season, I like to peruse the Vegas NBA win-total lines, with an eye towards picking up lost money in search of a home. My record on these picks is 10-1-1 since I began posting them for readers three seasons ago. Let’s see how I did this season, when I gave you these three Western Conference picks, and these four Eastern Conference picks:    Continue reading

Warriors 109 Pelicans 98 — Game 4

One sweep down, another coming up. This series between the Warriors and Pelicans played out almost exactly as scripted:     Continue reading

The Hack-a-Shaq in NBA Basketball

As what is known as the Hack-a-Shaq strategy is fixing to become a major theme of three Western conference playoff series, and because I heard Reggie Miller butcher the concept during his Clippers-Spurs broadcast last night, I am feeling the urge to give my readers my thoughts on this strategy. Here they are:   Continue reading

Asik On, Asik Off: Warriors 106 Pelicans 99

As I foreshadowed in my preview, it was obvious from this Game 1 that the Pelicans match up much better against the Warriors with Omer Asik off the floor. Asik was -18 on the game, which means… counting fingers… the Pellies were +11 with him sitting. Noting that Ajinca was +3, that means that the Pellies were +8 with Anthony Davis at center.        Continue reading

Let’s Get Ready to Scrimmage: Warriors Sweep Pelicans

By employing little rats as ball boys, the Pelicans managed to come up with some bulletin board material for this series. It’s not going to matter. They’re going to get swept.

I know it’s fashionable to award the lesser team a game or two in making series prognistications, but I just don’t see it here. The difference in talent between the Warriors and the Pelicans is just too great.

And this Warriors team is unlike almost any other team we’ve ever seen in NBA history, in one important respect: They never take a game off. Literally never.

Led by the indomitable will of Draymond Green and the extraordinary talent of Stephen Curry, the Warriors will sweep the Pelicans out of the playoffs.

Here’s a few more of my reasons why, and one possible way in which Monty Williams could flip the switch:        Continue reading

Stephen Curry MVP: The Clincher

By now, everyone interested has heard all of the arguments for and against Stephen Curry and James Harden in the MVP discussion. I don’t intend to rehash all of that. I just want to tell you the precise moment in the season when it became crystal clear to me who is the real MVP of the league.       Continue reading

The Real Spurs: Spurs 107 Warriors 92

I wrote after the Warriors victory over the Spurs in Oracle that the team they beat wasn’t the real Spurs. And of course, I heard it from some of the diehard Warriors fans afterwards. Maybe now they know what I meant. A rested and healthy Spurs team, at home, is far different from the ghost that wafted through Oracle at the end of a February road trip.   Continue reading

Feltbot’s Farewell: Warriors 107 Grizzlies 84

Just like that, all of the suspense went out of a potential playoff matchup between the Warriors and Grizzlies. The Grizz have no chance against this Warriors squad. None, nada. As I tweeted in the fourth quarter, the only thing Grizzlies fans have left to look forward to this season is the final fall of the guillotine in the playoffs.

The media storyline will be that the Warriors have a strong enough and deep enough front line to neutralize the Grizzlies’ greatest strength. And the Warriors have Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson, and the Grizzlies don’t. That’s all very true, and a good summary of the situation.

But let’s take a deeper look. There are a number of very interesting reasons why the Grizzlies can’t possibly match up against the Warriors, that I doubt will ever get mentioned by the major media:   Continue reading

Sauntering Down the Stretch — Open Thread

This is one of the oddest NBA seasons in memory. The number one seeds in both conferences have commanding leads with around 20 games left to play, but neither is the Vegas favorite to win the championship. The ninth-place team in the West, currently out of the playoffs, is tied for the third best odds to win the championship with the leader in the East. The Cavs are 11-5, Warriors 15-4 and the Thunder and Hawks are 7-1. In other words, its all over, but it’s wide open.

The Warriors regular season has lost interest. Their lead in the West is so commanding that Kerr can pull a Popovich and rest his starters whenever he feels like it. Their skill level is such that Curry frequently has to put on a third quarter exhibition of some kind just to keep the fans happy. They’re so good, that the clear MVP of the league is in danger of losing the award, for lack of fourth quarter playing time. Have you ever seen anyone lose the MVP because he regularly puts opponents away in the third quarter?

The Warriors are so good, that it’s a long, long wait between games that are interesting enough to write about. So like Steve Kerr, I’m going to rest my horses until the playoffs. Here’s a clean thread.

King Konged: Cavaliers 110 Warriors 99

The media storyline of this Cavaliers win over the Warriors: Curry and Klay bad shooting nights, LeBron unstoppable.

My storyline: Steve Kerr made it so.       Continue reading