Category Archives: NBA Playoffs

Thunder vs. Nuggets Post-Mortem

Well, I ate this bet.  And as always when I lose, whether it be in a poker hand, or a sports bet, or in a board game with my hated rival and best friend, the Supertrader, I do a post-mortem.  That’s how I get better at what I do.

So, here’s my list of reasons why my bet on the Nuggets was either a bad bet or a good bet:                                                                Continue reading

NBA Playoffs, Baby!: Thunder v. Nuggets Preview

I’ll be doing a lot of scouting in the first round of the NBA playoffs, but there’s only one matchup that piques my interest. Portland v. Dallas could turn into a competitive series, depending on Marcus Camby’s health. Well, no, it might not even depend on that. But I’m not interested in that series. I don’t like the Blazers at +180 because they have one of the worst playoff coaches in the league. And I’m not interested in the Mavs, because, well, they’re the Mavs. I like to watch Mark Cuban’s face when they lose.                                     Continue reading

Showdown in Tinseltown: Celtics @ Lakers Game 6 Preview

I’ve posted this preview on Golden State of Mind.

Triangle Collapses, Celtics Square Series + Lakers @ Celtics Game 3

I’ve posted this piece on Golden State of Mind.

Lakers Roll in Game 1: Lakers 102 Celtics 89

If you’re a Celtics fan, you have to be concerned by what you saw in this game.  The Lakers looked like the better team.  Here are my thoughts on why the Lakers look so different from the 2008 team that was dominated by the Celtics:

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2010 NBA Finals Preview: Boston Celtics v. LA Lakers

Celtics  +160

Lakers  -180

Two correct calls in the Conference Finals have got me back in the black for these playoffs, although it would have been better if I hadn’t hedged my Celtics bet in the last game.  C’est la vie, I think it was the right play, and in sports wagering as well as in poker, all you can do is make the right play.  You can’t control that river card.

Now what to do in these Finals?  The pundits seem to agree that this time around the Lakers have what it takes to beat the Celtics. They point to the fact that the Lakers have added Andrew Bynum and Ron Artest to the core that faced the Celtics in 2008. They think Pau Gasol is now “tougher,” and that the Lakers now “know what it takes” to win in the finals.  They think the Celtics are going to miss a couple of key bench players from the 2008 Finals, Leon Powe and James Posey.

I’m not so sure. Jump for my opinion of the key factors in this series:

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Middle Alert: Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics Game 6

You may remember that I bet on the Celtics in this series.  I still believe that they are the best team, but I am a little bit concerned about the injury problems that have surfaced in the last few games.  Big Baby Davis has been an important piece in the battle to contain Dwight Howard; he is concussed and down a few teeth, and may not be available.  Likewise Rasheed Wallace; he is a great player who has really stepped up his play, but he is now suffering severe back spasms. Kevin Garnett has slowed noticably; the knee that has bothered him all season may be on the verge of giving out.  And perhaps most importantly, Rajon Rondo has been slowed as well by back spasms.  Given these inherently unpredictable factors, I think prudence is the order of the day.

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Rondo Cursed, Magic Win + Lakers at Suns Game 4 Preview

I’ve posted this piece on Golden State of Mind.

Lakers dominate Suns; Celtics @ Magic, Game 2

I’ve posted this piece on Golden State of Mind.

Conference Championships Preview: Lakers v. Suns; Celtics v. Magic

Lakers  -360

Suns     +270

I’ve been betting against my heart and against the Suns every series so far this playoffs.  This series will be no different. I absolutely love Steve Nash — I watched virtually every one of his games with the Mavericks.  I love Alvin Gentry, the Suns coach.  I love Suns basketball, which is the closest you can get to Don Nelson basketball without having Nellie himself.  I was very impressed by how the Suns picked apart the Spurs in the last series.

But I don’t see any way they can beat the Lakers.  Here are the problems:

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