Category Archives: Predictions

2013 NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round Preview

Here’s my look at the first round of the Western Conference playoffs:  Continue reading

Grading Feltbot’s Western Conference Forecast

Other NBA bloggers blog their opinions. Blog, blog, blog.

Feltbot too blogs his opinions. But then, unlike any other NBA blogger he knows, he pulls out his wallet and backs his opinions up with cold, hard cashish. While telling you, gentle reader, exactly what he’s betting. Continue reading

The Soreness Element: 2012-13 Golden State Warriors Preview

There’s a soreness element….  — Bob Myers

I’m going out of town this weekend, and just realized I won’t have time for my typical preseason Warriors forecast. This might upset me more if I felt like I had something useful to say about this upcoming season. But I actually don’t.

Joe Lacob has created a team that is utterly hostage to the ankle situations of Andrew Bogut and Stephen Curry. Everything about this season is currently up in the air, starting with who will play, and ending with what style of basketball they will play. (Assuming of course, that the Warriors’ style of play will be influenced by the players they have available. That has never been a given for Joe Lacob’s amateur coaches.) What could I possibly say at this point about the 2012-13 Warriors that isn’t rampant speculation? Nothing.

So I’ll just let a few numbers do the talking for me. These three numbers, to be precise:

52.5

60.5

36.5

These three numbers express the future of this season’s Golden State Warriors far more eloquently than I can. Do you know what they are?

Jump for the cold, hard math:            Continue reading

2012-2013 NBA Western Conference Rankings

I’ve been waiting for Bogot long enough. With the start of the NBA season around the corner, it’s time for me to once again start putting my opinions on the line.

What follows are my regular season rankings for the Western Conference. Please note that my playoff rankings might differ considerably by the end of the season. My opinion of the Lakers is the most obvious example. If they manage to reach the end of the season with a healthy and rested (and somewhat deeper) roster, I will rank them higher for the playoffs.

Along with my ranking, I’m going to offer opinions of the Las Vegas regular-season win total lines for some teams. But when I offer a win total opinion in this post, that does NOT mean that I am going to bet this line. (I need a substantial perceived edge to bet. I’ll let you know which lines I’m betting in a later post.) Today’s opinions are just another way of stating which teams I think are over/undervalued headed into the regular season.                        Continue reading

Clippers 82 Grizzlies 72 + NBA Western Conference Round 2 Preview

Wow. If someone would have told you beforehand that Chris Paul and Blake Griffin would combine for 2 points in the fourth quarter of this game 7, would you have picked the Clippers to win by 10?                       Continue reading

Playoffs, Baby!: Feltbot’s 2012 NBA Playoffs First Round Predictions

Here’s something I don’t think I’ve ever said before: Thank God we now have the opportunity to watch some basketball played by teams that are trying to win.

Jump for my 2012 NBA playoff first-round predictions. As well as my bonus predictions for the conference champions and the NBA title, in case you happen to be looking at those lines (I’m not).     Continue reading

Joe Lacob and the Hidden Meaning of the Warriors Bench

What is it with Joe Lacob’s reluctance to spend money on this Warriors team? Last year he refused to shore up the worst bench in the NBA for a team that was arguably in contention at the trade deadline. This year in free agency he refused to “overspend” for a quality defensive center, virtually ensuring that the Warriors came away with nothing.                                                                          Continue reading

The Las Vegas Verdict on Joe Lacob’s 2012 Golden State Warriors

The early line on the 2012 NBA win totals just came out.  I think they speak for themselves regarding the “changes” that Joe Lacob has brought to the Warriors.                  Continue reading

2012 NBA Western Conference Rankings

My NBA Western Conference rankings will be far more idiosyncratic than most.  First of all, because they are made with absolutely no reference to the schedule, which by all accounts is extremely unfair.  Unlike normal years, not everyone plays the same teams the same number of times, at home and away.  I’m plenty nerdy, but not nerdy enough to weight all that. (Particularly since I can’t find a bookie willing to give season win totals this year.  Bah humbug!)

Second, because my rankings have almost nothing to do with who I think will win the Western Conference. Continue reading

Return of the Fast Break: 2011-12 Golden State Warriors Preview (Pt. 1)

Most NBA pundits are predicting that Mark Jackson is about to radically transform the Warriors style, forcing them away from their run and gun roots under Nellie, and towards a slowed-down style that emphasizes defense first.

I am predicting the exact opposite.

Continue reading