Category Archives: Predictions

Spurs v. Suns Preview (with Celtics v. Cavs bonus coverage)

I’ve taken the Spurs in this series, +120.  That’s not a great price for the team that doesn’t have home court.  But I think it’s a good bet, regardless.  Home court doesn’t mean diddly to this uber-experienced, uber-tough Spurs team. As their round one humiliation of the Mavericks showed.     Continue reading

Jazz v. Lakers Preview

The line in this series is -500 Lakers +350 Jazz.  I don’t like to bet 5-1 favorites, and won’t, but I think this line is actually too low.  What are the odds of Kobe Bryant or Pau Gasol suffering a major injury?  Those are the true odds for the Jazz to win this series.

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Round One Recap; Celtics v. Cavs Preview

I made one series bet in the first round one:  Celtics -180 over the Heat.  This line was a gift from the gods, and possibly Bill Simmons.  I wonder if his negative opinion of his favorite team moved the line at all.  The Heat had no chance to win this series, and it should have gone off at 7-1 or better. Probably the best series line I’ve seen since Celtics +170 against the Lakers in the finals.

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NBA Playoffs Preview: Heat v. Celtics, Bulls v. Cavs, Spurs v. Mavs, Thunder v. Lakers

Today’s preview has been posted at Golden State of Mind.

NBA Playoffs Preview: Magic v. Bobcats, Hawks v. Bucks, Trailblazers v. Suns

Magic v. Bobcats

When the favored team is up 3-0 and on the road in game 4, they typically suffer a let down and allow the underdog to capture a game (see Celtics v. Heat).  After game 1, this is the best opportunity you will get to bet the Bobcats if you believe in them.  They are +4 at home, in a close-out game.   Continue reading

Playoff Previews: Bobcats v. Magic, Suns v. Blazers, Hawks v. Bucks

Bobcats v. Magic

Bobcats are +2.  My previous bet in the face of Jackson’s hyper-extended knee was stubborn.  The Bobcats need a healthy Jackson to contend in this series, and he’s clearly not that.  Brown is giving him help in defending Carter, and that’s killing the team’s defense.

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NBA Playoff Preview: Suns v. Trailblazers

Why is this man smiling?

As anticipated, the Suns recovered to blow out the Blazers in the second game of the series.  That frequently happens in situations like this, where the game is meaningless to the Blazers, who have already seized home court advantage, while the Suns are fighting for their playoff lives.  It would be a mistake to read too much into game 2.   Continue reading

NBA Playoffs Preview: Bobcats v. Magic, Mavs v. Spurs

The Captain

Bobcats v. Magic

I got a little lucky in the first game.  I was willing to take 8 points with the Bobcats, but the line was +9.5, giving me the half point win.  Or did I get lucky? I certainly wasn’t planning on the sight of Stephen Jackson writhing on the floor in pain in the first half, with a hyper-extended knee.

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NBA Playoffs Update: Day 4

Jennings vs. The Hawks!  Wade vs. The Celtics!  Durant vs. The Lakers! Stoudemire vs. Camby!

Feltbot vs. The Bookies!

Jump for a preview of Day 4 of the 2010 NBA playoffs!

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Playoffs! Predictions! Bets!

This is a very odd year in the NBA.  I cannot recall a season where so many important players were fighting through injury coming into the playoffs: Kobe, Bynum, KMart, Parker, Hill, Marion, Kirilenko, Okur, Shaq, Garnett, Pierce, Jackson, Noah.  Needless to say, it makes it extremely difficult to evaluate even otherwise mundane series.  But here we go:

Chicago                      +2000

Cleveland                  -3000

Would you like a 3.3% return on your money in a one-week investment?  Put everything in your savings on the Cavaliers to win this series.  (That’s a joke, haters!) But a word to the wise: Do NOT bet against Lebron in any playoff series this year.  David Stern badly wants Lebron to win this year, and betting against what David Stern wants is like setting a blowtorch to your money.  Just ask Mark Cuban and Bill Simmons.   No Bet.

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