Category Archives: Previews

Pre-Game Jitters: Warriors at Chicago Bulls

Warriors are +6.5 at Chicago.  Let’s see. Warriors on a road back-to-back, their 4th game in 5 nights. David Lee was gashed to the bone, and has stitches in his shooting arm. It will probably be stiff as a board. Monta’s back will probably be stiff as a board. Stephen Curry’s ankle will probably be stiff as a board. Home and a soft bed has got to be a pretty appealing thought right now. If ever there was a game to take off The Warriors Bet, this would be it, right?

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Pre-Game Jitters: Warriors at Knicks

In case you don’t follow Marcus Thompson (or Feltbot) on Twitter, the news is in:  Monta Ellis was seen shooting before the game, and is apparently playing against the Knicks. (Nod to rggblog for the heads-up.)

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Pre-Game Jitters: Jazz at Warriors

This is a new Jazz team, and a new Warriors team.  Let’s take a look at how they match up.

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Pre-Game Jitters: Clippers at Warriors Preview

The Warriors are -5.5 favorites at home against the Clippers tonight.  I suppose this makes sense, given how Curry made Baron Davis look the last time they met in the Oracle. But looking at Warriors lines like this takes some getting used to!

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Pre-Game Jitters: Rockets at Warriors

Finally.  Am I the only one who feels like it’s been two years since last season?

The Warriors open the season as -3.5 favorites against the visiting Houston Rockets. Really, favorites?  This line is quite mysterious to me. Maybe it’s because the Warriors are suiting up more than six players, and the bookies don’t know how to handicap that!

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Showdown in Tinseltown: Celtics @ Lakers Game 6 Preview

I’ve posted this preview on Golden State of Mind.

Triangle Collapses, Celtics Square Series + Lakers @ Celtics Game 3

I’ve posted this piece on Golden State of Mind.

Celtics @ Lakers Game 2 Preview

If you like the Celtics in this matchup, THIS is the game you want to bet. Getting a straight 6 points now.  Me, I’m staying away.

There are a lot of adjustments the Celtics can make to play better in this game. Getting Pierce onto Kobe from the start of the game is number one.  Going to Ray Allen against Derek Fisher again and again and again is also important. (Rivers has to make the Lakers pay for putting Kobe on Rondo.)  Using pick and roll to free Pierce from Artest’s clutches.  Rondo being more assertive.

But it might not matter, because Kevin Garnett doesn’t look right.

2010 NBA Finals Preview: Boston Celtics v. LA Lakers

Celtics  +160

Lakers  -180

Two correct calls in the Conference Finals have got me back in the black for these playoffs, although it would have been better if I hadn’t hedged my Celtics bet in the last game.  C’est la vie, I think it was the right play, and in sports wagering as well as in poker, all you can do is make the right play.  You can’t control that river card.

Now what to do in these Finals?  The pundits seem to agree that this time around the Lakers have what it takes to beat the Celtics. They point to the fact that the Lakers have added Andrew Bynum and Ron Artest to the core that faced the Celtics in 2008. They think Pau Gasol is now “tougher,” and that the Lakers now “know what it takes” to win in the finals.  They think the Celtics are going to miss a couple of key bench players from the 2008 Finals, Leon Powe and James Posey.

I’m not so sure. Jump for my opinion of the key factors in this series:

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Middle Alert: Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics Game 6

You may remember that I bet on the Celtics in this series.  I still believe that they are the best team, but I am a little bit concerned about the injury problems that have surfaced in the last few games.  Big Baby Davis has been an important piece in the battle to contain Dwight Howard; he is concussed and down a few teeth, and may not be available.  Likewise Rasheed Wallace; he is a great player who has really stepped up his play, but he is now suffering severe back spasms. Kevin Garnett has slowed noticably; the knee that has bothered him all season may be on the verge of giving out.  And perhaps most importantly, Rajon Rondo has been slowed as well by back spasms.  Given these inherently unpredictable factors, I think prudence is the order of the day.

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