Anyone who tells you they know exactly how the West is going to shake out this season is deluded. This is probably the most wide open the top of the West has been in over 20 years. I give 5 different teams a legitimate chance (10% or better) to finish with the best record. It’s Open Season.
So when I tell you my pick for the top team in the West, you should understand that I’m only giving that team about a 20-25% chance of actually finishing on top. That just happens to be a higher percentage than I’m assigning any of the others.
What might be more interesting to you are my picks against the Vegas Win-Total lines. I’ve had a pretty good record with these historically, including last year, when I went 5-1. These lines are among the very few all year that the Vegas bookies can get egregiously wrong. Mainly because the preseason enthusiasms of the fans can have an outsized effect on them, but also because of the difficulty the experts have in forecasting the effects of new rosters and new coaches.
In reverse order (because, drama), here are my picks for the top 6 seeds in the West: Continue reading
Posted in Around the NBA, Golden State Warriors, Predictions, Previews, Wagers
Tagged Clippers, Grizzlies, Rockets, Spurs, Stephen Curry, Thunder, Warriors
The great flurry of activity surrounding the draft and the opening of free agency has now died down, and I think the Warriors have emerged clear winners. They have not only addressed every single critical hole or misconstruction in their roster that I have been harping on since the advent of the Lacob era, but by doing so have also given strong indications that the guiding philosopy of the franchise has changed radically as well.
A sad but somehow fitting way to end this injury-marred season. I hope neither Harrison Barnes nor Andrew Bogut are badly hurt, and wish them both as rapid a return to health as possible. That obviously goes for David Lee and Stephen Curry (and Brandon Rush) as well. This Warriors team left absolutely everything on the court, and they and Mark Jackson can be very proud of what they achieved this season. Continue reading
David Lee just might be the healthiest star on the court.
You could choose from any number of story lines to describe this Game 4 Warriors win against the Spurs. Mark Jackson’s was this: “I’m just so glad that a national TV audience had an opportunity to see exactly what’s been taking place in this area.” The Warriors’ PR department’s preferred story line was “Barnes Shoots Lights Out!” Buried deep in the sports section, you might find something about how Jarrett Jack put the Warriors on his back and carried them when they absolutely needed him. You’ll find something about Bogut’s defense and rebounding against Tim Duncan. And the fact that the crippled Curry and Lee gave everything they had. Continue reading
Well, I guess I was a little optimistic with that Warriors in Six prediction, wasn’t I? Who would have thought that the Spurs could beat this red-hot Warriors team, with a half-dead Manu Ginobili? Gregg Popovich and the Spurs, that’s who. The Spurs showed their championship pedigree in this game. Starting with the head of the snake, their head coach, who demonstrated once again why he is one of the best to ever stalk the NBA hardwood. Continue reading
How the Spurs can Win: Greg Popovich has a big problem. The first two games have made clear that the Warriors are by far the more offensively talented team. Curry, Thompson and Jack are far more talented than Danny Green and the aging and injured Parker and Ginobili. Draymond Green is far more talented than Bonner. And so far at least, there hasn’t been a significant difference in the play of Barnes and Leonard.
Tim Duncan is still one of the great offensive big men in the game, but Bogut and Ezeli’s ability to guard him one-on-one takes away a lot of his value to his team. Now he’s just a semi-efficient scorer of two point buckets, and not the team facilitator of layups and open threes that he can be when double-teamed.
What can Popovich do about this? What is the correct strategy for a team that is facing a major deficit in offensive talent? Continue reading
Posted in Golden State Warriors, NBA Playoffs, Previews
Tagged Andrew Bogut, Draymond Green, Greg Popovich, Harrison Barnes, Klay Thompson, Stephen Curry, Tiago Splitter, Tim Duncan, Tony Parker
No, our eyes didn’t deceive us last game. The newly Nellieball Golden State Warriors are a better team than the San Antonio Spurs.
Jump for the reasons why: Continue reading
I’m with Mark Jackson. Regardless of the result, I liked what I saw in this game. Really liked what I saw. I know Duncan was deathly ill, but the Spurs looked really old and slow. Tony Parker is at about 80% — he’s slower than normal, and his deep shot isn’t falling. Ginobili has been at about 70% all season, when he’s been playing at all — his shooting has all but deserted him (funny thing to say after he just daggered us), and his driving and finishing ability are hugely diminished. Continue reading
As I predicted, the Warriors shot up Andrew Bogut’s crippled, arthritic ankle with painkillers before last night’s Game 6 against the Nuggets. And the result was spectacular. We’ve all seen the stats: 14 points, 21 rbs., 4 blocks. This coming after two straight 5 rebound games. And a grand total of 2 points in his previous three halfs of basketball. Continue reading